👋 Hi, I’m Andre and welcome to my newsletter Data Driven VC which is all about becoming a better investor with Data & AI. Join 34,520 thought leaders from VCs like a16z, Accel, Index, Sequoia, and more to understand how startup investing becomes more data-driven, why it matters, and what it means for you.
ICYMI, check out our most read episodes:
Brought to you by Harmonic — The Complete Startup Database
Market maps finally work in venture software. Scout — the AI agent made for VCs allows you market map with ease. Simply describe what you’re looking for, or look up the competitive landscape for a particular company.
Scout handles the rest, scouring the internet as well as Harmonic’s private database trusted by thousands of investors from leading firms like GV and Insight.
SaaS CAC Payback Periods Hit Troubling Highs
Kyle Poyar spotlights new data showing just how inefficient SaaS go-to-market teams have become. He shares numbers from Jamin Ball’s Clouded Judgement, indicating that sales and marketing costs now take years to recover, even for top performers.
Q1 2024 Average: Gross margin-adjusted CAC payback hit 57 months. That means even strong public SaaS companies need nearly five years to break even on new customer acquisition costs.
Best vs. Worst Performers: Zero public companies had CAC payback under 12 months. Only five were under 24 months, while 24 firms reported payback above 100 months or negative net-new ARR.
12-Quarter Trend: The average CAC payback over the past 12 quarters sits at 41 months, showing this is a persistent problem not explained away by one bad quarter or macro factors.
✈️ KEY TAKEAWAYS
Public SaaS companies face severe GTM inefficiency, with CAC payback periods stretching multiple years. This may force a reckoning as companies can’t rely on legacy customer subsidies forever.
Is AI Really Taking Startup Jobs?
Subscribe to DDVC to read the rest.
Join the Data Driven VC community to get access to this post and other exclusive subscriber-only content.
Join the CommunityA subscription gets you:
- 1 paid weekly newsletter
- Access our archive of 300+ articles
- Annual ticket for the virtual DDVC Summit
- Discounts to productivity tools
- Database Benchmarking Report
- Virtual & physical meetups
- Masterclasses & videos
- Access to AI Copilots