š„ Size of Option Pools, Time to Exit Analysis, Startup Names and Fundraising Success, Employee Comp Data & More
Digesting Insights From the Data
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How Big Should Your Seed-Stage Employee Option Pool Be?
New data from Carta shows that the median employee option pool at the seed stage is significantly smaller than what some VCs may suggest. Hereās what you should know to balance employee fairness with founder equity preservation.
Option Pool Reality: Data from over 15,000 startups between 2020ā2024 shows the median seed-stage employee pool is 11.8%, with the 75th percentile at 16.2%.
Why VCs Push Bigger Pools: Larger pools pre-round reduce their dilution but may over-allocate equity founders can later reclaim. On average, startups only use 60ā70% of the pool before their next fundraising.
Planning for Growth: Seed-stage startups have slowed hiring compared to past years. Instead of overcommitting equity upfront, reserve enough for two years of hiring with the flexibility to replenish later.
āļø KEY TAKEAWAYS
Founders should push back against unnecessarily large option pools in early rounds, leveraging data to preserve their equity while still supporting employee ownership.
The Rise of Patient Unicorns: Longer Waits for Exits
Unicorn startups stay private longer, with recent cohorts showing historically low exit rates. A Stanford GSB study analyzed 1,516 US-based unicorns between 1997ā2024, uncovering dramatic shifts in exit timelines.
Exit Rates in Early Years: The 1997ā2015 cohort saw 18% of unicorns exit within 2 years, compared to just 6% in the 2020ā2022 cohort.
Later Exit Trends: By year 5, roughly half of unicorns in earlier cohorts exited: 49% of the 1997ā2015 cohort and 52% of the 2016ā2019 cohort. The 2020ā2022 cohort lags far behind, with only 11% exiting by year 3.
Patience Required: For all cohorts, a significant portion of unicorns remain private for at least 5 years, requiring investors to prepare for longer waits for returns.
āļø KEY TAKEAWAYS
Recent unicorns are breaking the mold, with slower exit timelines and longer private growth phases, signaling a fundamental change in investor expectations.