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Reviewing my 2024 predictions⏮️

I split my annual predictions into 50/50 into general VC industry predictions and AI & data in VC predictions. Before we dive into the 2025 outlook, let’s look at the scorecard for last year’s predictions. Here’s the quick review:

#1 Natural selection: VCs cut headcount, close shop & pursue M&A😵🤝

Right, many VCs failed to raise their next vintage and/or closed

#2 Exit window will open end 2024 / early 2025📈

End 2024 = wrong. Early 2025 too early to tell.

#3 Boutiques, Mega funds, barbells, and the VOID🏋️

Too early to tell

#4 “Preferred” access to deals becomes key🕵️‍♂️

Right, competition for the top 1% deals continues to become more and more competitive, and investors increasingly more creative

#5 2024 will be the year of pre-emptions🏃‍♂️

Right, most pre-emptions we’ve ever seen

#6 Massive disruption through data & AI🤖

Right, data & AI in VC starts to become mainstream. More data on this in the upcoming DDVC Landscape 2025

#7 Build: Relative share of internal (data) engineers increases👩🏽‍💻

Right, at least according to preliminary DDVC Landscape 2025 data, the number of engineers continues to grow, whereas the number of investors remains unchanged

#8 Buy: “Investment Tech” on the rise⚒️

Right, I’ve never seen so many new cool tools for VCs within one year

#9 Fewer investors get more done💪🏼

Too early to tell

#10 Reputation & brand become key🏆

Too early to tell, but many VCs invested heavily into firm brand and personal brand initiatives. Rebrandings from Redpoint, GC, Seedcamp, Cherry, and many more

👉 In Summary, 60% right, 5% wrong, 35% too early to tell. Not bad 2024, not bad

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My 2025 predictions🔮

As for last year, I’ll split my predictions 50/50 into general VC and AI & Data in VC. Let’s dive in.

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